OverviewResearchValidation Status
What was tested

Defined-Risk Iron Butterfly — Weekly on SPY

Evidence and readiness

Historical evidence unfavorable.

Validation ROI, adverse-cost ROI, or Sharpe was not positive. The blocker is observed performance, not merely data volume, so this version is not approved for paper observation.

Validation ROI−1.06%
Adverse-cost ROI−1.57%
Win rate+33.33%
Completed trades3
Sharpe ratio-0.69
Max drawdown−1.59%
PAPER-OBSERVATION DECISION

Historical evidence unfavorable

Validation ROI, adverse-cost ROI, or Sharpe was not positive. The blocker is observed performance, not merely data volume, so this version is not approved for paper observation.

SAFETY

No paper-order eligibility

This version cannot create a paper order because it did not meet the experimental queue rule. The deployment contains no live-order URL.