OverviewResearchValidation Status
What was tested

Bull-Trend Long Call — Weekly on SPY

Evidence and readiness

Paper observation candidate.

ROI, adverse-cost ROI, and Sharpe were positive, and modeled risk is bounded or fully collateralized. The failed historical gate was sample size, so prospective paper observation is appropriate; this is not validation or live approval.

Validation ROI+1.01%
Adverse-cost ROI+0.96%
Win rate+70.00%
Completed trades10
Sharpe ratio0.31
Max drawdown−2.69%
PAPER-OBSERVATION DECISION

Paper observation candidate

ROI, adverse-cost ROI, and Sharpe were positive, and modeled risk is bounded or fully collateralized. The failed historical gate was sample size, so prospective paper observation is appropriate; this is not validation or live approval.

SAFETY

Isolated Alpaca paper observation

A separate worker may submit only a newly qualified frozen signal to Alpaca paper after execution-quality and central-risk approval. The public page has no order controls, and no live-order URL exists.